── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Jack Draper
31%69%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
GBR
211cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 7-6(3) 7-6(0) |