── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Reilly Opelka a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Reilly Opelka
Rinky Hijikata
53%47%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#100
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
211cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Reilly OpelkaRinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Reilly Opelka1-6 6-3 7-5 7-6(3)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR128Reilly Opelka7-5 7-5