── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Holger Rune 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Holger Rune
23%77%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Holger Rune
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
DEN
211cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) |