── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Mattia Bellucci
56%44%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#123
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
211cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q1 | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 6-4 |