── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mattia Bellucci 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Reilly Opelka
Mattia Bellucci
41%59%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#100
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
211cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Reilly Opelka■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | Q1 | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 6-4 |