── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ethan Quinn 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Reilly Opelka
Ethan Quinn
40%60%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Return
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#100
model rank
#63
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
211cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Reilly Opelka■ Ethan Quinn
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Ethan Quinn7-5 7-6(7)
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Reilly Opelka7-5 7-6(3)