── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Gael Monfils
72%28%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#73
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard2–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Andrey Rublev | W/O |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(2) 7-6(5) |
| 2018-01-01 | Doha | Hard | F | Gael Monfils | 6-2 6-3 |