── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Yoshihito Nishioka
82%18%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
JPN
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Yoshihito Nishioka | 2-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | SF | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-02-02 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2019-01-07 | Sydney | Hard | R16 | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-3 6-1 |