Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev
2–9
head to head
Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniil Medvedev 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Daniil Medvedev
37%63%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–9
── 11 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-29HangzhouHardFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsHardRRDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2
2023-08-28Us OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 6-4
2023-02-27DubaiHardFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-2
2022-11-14Tour FinalsHardRRAndrey Rublev6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(7)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersHardSFAndrey Rublev2-6 6-3 6-3
2021-02-08Australian OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev7-5 6-3 6-2
2020-08-31Us OpenHardQFDaniil Medvedev7-6(6) 6-3 7-6(5)
2019-09-16St. PetersburgHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-5
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardQFDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-3
2016-10-24Budapest CHHardR16Daniil Medvedev6-3 6-2