── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Zhizhen Zhang
86%14%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
49th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Zhizhen Zhang
15th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CHN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevZhizhen Zhang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard40
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-03RotterdamHardR32Andrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2024-02-26DubaiHardR32Andrey Rublev6-7(4) 6-2 6-4
2022-10-03AstanaHardR16Andrey Rublev6-3 6-2