── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Cameron Norrie
59%41%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
GBR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 6-7(5) 6-2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Cameron Norrie | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-09-27 | San Diego | Hard | SF | Cameron Norrie | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-10-12 | St Petersburg | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 6-1 |