── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Alejandro Tabilo
58%42%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#27
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
CHI
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Bastad | Clay | SF | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alejandro Tabilo | 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(3) 6-1 |