── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Arthur Rinderknech
66%34%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
87th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevArthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard40
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardQFAndrey Rublev6-2 6-4
2024-08-26Us OpenHardR64Andrey Rublev4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2
2024-07-29WashingtonHardR16Andrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-4
2023-08-28Us OpenHardR32Andrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5