── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Arthur Rinderknech
59%41%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
90th · elite
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Arthur Rinderknech
20th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#27
model rank
#44
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Arthur Rinderknech
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(4) 6-4 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5 |