── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Andrea Pellegrino
84%16%
Hard: 96% / 4%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#160
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Andrea Pellegrino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(3) 6-7(7) 6-3 |