── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Stefanos Tsitsipas
51%49%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#29
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GRE
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard6–3
Clay1–3
── 13 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2022-11-14 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Andrey Rublev | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-10-03 | Astana | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 2-6 6-4 |
| 2021-11-15 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | F | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2021-03-01 | Rotterdam | Hard | SF | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 7-6(2) |
| 2020-11-16 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-1 4-6 7-6(6) |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 7-5 6-2 6-3 |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Clay | F | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-7(5) 7-6(7) 7-5 |
| 2018-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | SF | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 4-3(3) 3-4(5) 4-0 2-4 4-3(2) |
| 2017-01-30 | Quimper CH | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 3-6 7-6(7) |