── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Hubert Hurkacz
69%31%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
94th · elite
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#60
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POL
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | QF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | F | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 3-6 7-6(8) |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2022-02-21 | Dubai | Hard | SF | Andrey Rublev | 3-6 7-5 7-6(5) |
| 2021-03-22 | Miami Masters | Hard | SF | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6(6) 3-6 6-2 |