── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hubert Hurkacz a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Hubert Hurkacz
46%54%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
96th · elite
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Hubert Hurkacz
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#27
model rank
#20
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POL
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Hubert Hurkacz
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass0–1
Hard2–3
Clay0–1
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-16HalleGrassR32Hubert Hurkacz6-3 6-2
2025-02-03RotterdamHardQFHubert Hurkacz6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersHardFHubert Hurkacz6-3 3-6 7-6(8)
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR16Andrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-4
2022-02-21DubaiHardSFAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-03-22Miami MastersHardSFHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayR32Hubert Hurkacz7-6(6) 3-6 6-2