── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Lorenzo Sonego
74%26%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ITA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Hard3–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 5-7 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-11-04 | Metz | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 5-7 0-6 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2021-05-10 | Rome Masters | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-10-26 | Vienna | Hard | F | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2016-08-01 | Cortina CH | Clay | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 7-5 |