── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Nuno Borges
68%32%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POR
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard3–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 7-6(2) 7-6(2) |
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 1-6 6-1 |
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-2 |