── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Tallon Griekspoor
67%33%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
Clay1–0
Grass1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-01BeijingHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 5-7 7-6(6)
2026-02-23DubaiHardSFTallon Griekspoor7-5 7-6(6)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayR16Andrey Rublev6-2 6-4
2023-06-19HalleGrassQFAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-02-20DohaHardR16Andrey Rublev1-6 6-1 7-6(6)