── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Ugo Humbert
59%41%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Ugo Humbert
84th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#27
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Ugo Humbert
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 5-7 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2021-06-14 | Halle | Grass | F | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2020-10-12 | St Petersburg | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q2 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-4 |