── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
79%21%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 1-6 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 1-6 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2024-07-22 | Umag | Clay | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 7-5 |