── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Hugo Gaston
83%17%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#138
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Hugo Gaston
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 6-3 |