── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Sebastian Baez
71%29%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#27
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-17BastadClayQFAndrey Rublev6-1 6-2
2022-07-11BastadClaySFSebastian Baez6-2 6-4