── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Otto Virtanen
76%24%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Otto Virtanen
52th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Otto Virtanen
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#116
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FIN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Otto Virtanen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-31US OpenHardR128Andrey Rublev6-7(5) 6-7(0) 6-0 6-2 7-6(5)