── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Fabian Marozsan
71%29%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
HUN
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevFabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Clay11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR16Andrey Rublev6-2 6-4
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR64Fabian Marozsan7-5 4-6 6-3
2025-02-03RotterdamHardR16Andrey Rublev7-6(2) 7-6(7)
2024-12-30Hong KongHardR16Fabian Marozsan7-5 3-6 6-3
2024-07-22UmagClayQFAndrey Rublev5-7 6-3 6-2