── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Jesper De Jong
76%24%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jesper De Jong
26th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Jesper De Jong
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#112
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2025-04-14BarcelonaClayR32Andrey Rublev6-1 6-3