── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Jesper De Jong
74%26%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jesper De Jong
44th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#84
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevJesper De Jong
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2025-04-14BarcelonaClayR32Andrey Rublev6-1 6-3