── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Timofey Skatov
86%14%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 73% / 27%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Timofey Skatov
15th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
KAZ
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Timofey Skatov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-23EstorilClayR16Andrey Rublev6-1 6-1