── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Jack Draper
54%46%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | F | Andrey Rublev | 7-5 5-7 6-1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 2-6 6-4 7-5 |