── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Tomas Machac
59%41%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#35
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CZE
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-4 |