── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Tomas Machac
65%35%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#64
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
CZE
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-4 |