── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Jacob Fearnley
87%13%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GBR
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-4 |