── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Rinky Hijikata
72%28%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 95% / 5%
Grass: 57% / 43%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
18th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#28
model rank
#95
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-25HangzhouHardR16Andrey Rublev6-3 6-3