── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Mariano Navone
60%40%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Mariano Navone
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#27
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Andrey Rublev6-4 7-5