── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Mariano Navone
58%42%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Mariano Navone
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevMariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Andrey Rublev6-4 7-5