── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Luciano Darderi
59%41%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Luciano Darderi
58th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Luciano Darderi
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#28
model rank
#43
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ITA
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Bastad | Clay | F | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-05-18 | Hamburg | Clay | QF | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 3-6 6-3 |