── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Luca Van Assche
66%34%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Luca Van Assche
17th · poor
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Luca Van Assche
86th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#27
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
FRA
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Luca Van Assche
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Estoril | Clay | QF | Luca Van Assche | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |