── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Ignacio Buse
61%39%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 91% / 9%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#19
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
PER
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5 |