── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Andrey Rublev
Juncheng Shang
78%22%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#27
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
CHN
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Andrey Rublev■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Juncheng Shang | 7-5 4-6 7-6(5) |
| 2024-01-01 | Hong Kong | Hard | SF | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-2 6-3 |