── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Jaime Faria
67%33%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 63% / 37%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Jaime Faria
34th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#27
model rank
#71
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Andrey Rublev■ Jaime Faria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5