── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Jaime Faria
71%29%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#69
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
POR
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevJaime Faria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5