── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Andrey Rublev
Learner Tien
48%52%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Learner Tien
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#19
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
USA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Andrey RublevLearner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Andrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-3
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR32Learner Tien7-5 6-2