── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Benjamin Bonzi
Cameron Norrie
32%68%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#94
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
GBR
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Benjamin BonziCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Cameron Norrie6-0 6-7(2) 4-6 6-3 6-4
2024-11-04MetzHardFBenjamin Bonzi7-6(6) 6-4