── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Benjamin Bonzi
Alex De Minaur
23%77%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Benjamin Bonzi
52th · average
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Benjamin Bonzi
46th · average
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#74
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Benjamin Bonzi■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | 's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | QF | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(0) 6-2 6-1 |
| 2022-10-17 | Stockholm | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2022-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: FRA vs AUS | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 1-6 6-4 |
| 2016-08-08 | Spain F25 | Hard | QF | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-3 7-5 |