── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Benjamin Bonzi
Lorenzo Musetti
21%79%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#94
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Benjamin BonziLorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Clay02
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardR64Benjamin Bonzi5-7 6-4 7-6(4)
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardR128Lorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 7-6(4) 4-6 6-2
2021-01-17Istanbul 1 CHHardR16Benjamin Bonzi6-1 6-4
2019-09-23Florence CHClayR64Lorenzo Musetti6-4 7-6(9)
2019-08-12Cordenons CHClayR64Lorenzo Musetti6-1 6-4