── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Benjamin Bonzi
Matteo Arnaldi
40%60%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Benjamin Bonzi
51th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Benjamin Bonzi
36th · below avg
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#94
model rank
#54
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Benjamin Bonzi■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Benjamin Bonzi | 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 |