── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Safiullin 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Safiullin
Fabio Fognini
67%33%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 56% / 44%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Fabio Fognini
4th · poor
Return
Roman Safiullin
62th · average
Fabio Fognini
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#86
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ITA
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman SafiullinFabio Fognini
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-11-04BelgradeHardR32Roman Safiullin6-3 6-3
2024-09-18ChengduHardR32Roman Safiullin6-3 4-6 6-4