── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Safiullin
Alexander Bublik
28%72%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Roman Safiullin
62th · average
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
KAZ
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Safiullin■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Roman Safiullin | 6-4 6-2 |