── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Roman Safiullin 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Safiullin
Jan Choinski
67%33%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Jan Choinski
45th · average
Return
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong
Jan Choinski
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GBR
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Safiullin■ Jan Choinski
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Alicante CH | Clay | R16 | Roman Safiullin | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-03-02 | Thionville CH | Hard | R16 | Jan Choinski | 4-6 7-5 7-5 |