── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Frances Tiafoe 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Safiullin
Frances Tiafoe
32%68%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Roman Safiullin
62th · average
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#86
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Roman SafiullinFrances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Frances Tiafoe6-4 7-5 6-4
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR32Roman Safiullin5-7 7-5 7-6(5)