── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Safiullin
Alexei Popyrin
48%52%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Safiullin
48th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Roman Safiullin
62th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#75
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Safiullin■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Roman Safiullin | 6-7(4) 6-3 7-5 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | R16 | Roman Safiullin | 6-7(9) 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2022-02-14 | Marseille | Hard | R32 | Roman Safiullin | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(3) |