── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Joao Fonseca 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Roman Safiullin
Joao Fonseca
35%65%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#42
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
BRA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Roman Safiullin■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-03WimbledonGrassR32Roman Safiullin6-3 6-3 6-3