── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Roman Safiullin
Joao Fonseca
35%65%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Roman Safiullin
70th · strong
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Roman Safiullin
76th · strong
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#42
model rank
#15
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
BRA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Roman Safiullin■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Roman Safiullin | 6-3 6-3 6-3 |
