── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Billy Harris
Daniel Merida Aguilar
14%86%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Billy Harris
8th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Billy Harris
13th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#180
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ESP
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Billy Harris■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayQ1Daniel Merida Aguilar6-3 7-5
2023-10-09Malaga CHHardQ2Billy Harris6-2 6-1