── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Taylor Fritz 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Taylor Fritz
Marin Cilic
74%26%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#15
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CRO
196cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Taylor Fritz■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | SF | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(5) 7-6(3) |
| 2022-04-11 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 4-6 6-4 |
| 2021-10-25 | St. Petersburg | Hard | F | Marin Cilic | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2017-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |