── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Taylor Fritz 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Taylor Fritz
Roberto Carballes Baena
87%13%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 96% / 4%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Taylor Fritz
97th · elite
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Taylor Fritz
76th · strong
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#15
model rank
#147
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
196cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Taylor FritzRoberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Taylor Fritz7-5 7-6(1)